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So what's going on in Newark?  From a serious challenger, nine out of ten LD voters desert the party and it loses its deposit!  Those votes should have gone to Labour, but Labour is seriously down in the polls too.  Seriously down from one of its worst results ever, at a time when it should have been packing on votes!


Nine thousand voters certainly haven't deserted the LD's to go to UKIP.  The vast majority of those LDs voted for Cameron's left-of-center, split-on-Europe, Tory party!  UKIP have taken both Tory and Labour votes, and are likely to keep them.  UKIP have likely also brought people back into politics who have felt they've had no real representation in recent decades.


The LD screw-up in removing Clegg has likely finished the party for good, and we are back with three party politics - only a different three parties!  Miliband is poison, even to most Labour voters, and if he ever becomes PM by default it is going to be a very sad fixed five year term for this country.  A completely wasted five years until even brainless Labour supporters, who don't realise who and what they are electing, have had enough of him.


There are still a lot of imponderables, but we certainly live in interesting times.  A change of leadership could completely transform any of the old parties, and even save the LDs from oblivion. That none of them can do this shows what a disparate rabble each of them really is!  Here's the real reason for the surge in devolution: nowadays people feel better able to do things for themselves.

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